Methods
How statuses and marks are set by rule, and how every number and quote is checked.
Methods: how status is set and checked
Counting brackets
Square brackets mark words countries have not agreed. We count every opening bracket in the main text, including brackets inside brackets. Headers, footnotes and document codes are skipped.Count every opening square bracket in the body of the draft, nested ones included. Ignore brackets in headers, footnotes and document symbols. Not yet tested on a real draft.
No hand sign-off
Nobody signs off on this page by hand. Statuses are worked out by a fixed rule from the draft texts. Numbers and quotes are checked automatically against the source they came from, and the page shows how well each one has been checked.No editorial gate. Status is a pure function of bracket counts and timestamps (rule-computed). Figures and quotes carry a verbatim source quote confirmed by script against a stored snapshot, plus agreement of independent model checks. Disagreement or an unreachable source renders as pending.
Scoreboard marks
A scoreboard row gets a Progress, Flat or Regression mark only when it is a temperature number. We compare the newest value with Paris 2015 and with Belém 2025. A change of 0.2°C or more counts; anything smaller is Flat. Rows without comparable numbers get no mark.Numeric rule on °C series: compare latest value (range midpoint where low and high differ) with the period value; delta <= -0.2 Progress, >= +0.2 Regression, otherwise Flat. Lower is better for warming. No verdict where the series has no comparable numeric points or the later period is pending.
Status rules
- MovingThe bracket count fell by 10% or more since the previous version, or rival options were merged.
- StalledNo new version in 36 hours, or the count rose, or the Earth Negotiations Bulletin reports consultations broke down (the passage is quoted on the page).
- AgreedThe text was forwarded with no brackets, or adopted in plenary.
- Draft postedAn official draft exists, but no status rule can call it yet: it is the first version, the change is small, or the bracket count could not be read. The version, bracket count (or "count unavailable"), time posted and link are shown.
- No draft yetNo official draft is posted yet for this topic.
- VoluntaryThe item sits outside the negotiated outcome; there is no draft text to count.
How we check
Every number and quote on this page comes from a named source. Software fetches that source and looks for the exact words. This is what that can and cannot tell you.Verification is mechanical transcription and metadata checking, run by independent automated checkers. It establishes provenance and fidelity, not scientific validity.
What automatic checks can prove
- A quoted passage is present, word for word, in a saved copy of the source.
- The number in our record equals the number in that passage.
- A DOI resolves, and the title, authors, journal and year match the record.
- A paper has no retraction or correction notice on Crossref.
- Bracket counts in a draft text, counted by script under the published rule.
What they cannot prove
- Whether the science in a source is right.
- That a plain-language summary captures every subtlety of the original.
- That an authoritative source has not itself made a mistake.
We report what each source says, not that it is right.
Trust tags you will see
- verifiedA verbatim quote was confirmed in the source and two independent checks agreed. The quote shows in the source card.
- verified onceOne check passed. Treat as provisional.
- no source yetNothing has passed yet, the source could not be reached, or the checks disagreed. Shown as pending, never as fact.
Corrections
Mistakes are corrected in public. Every correction is dated in the changelog with what was wrong and what changed.
Report an error. Corrections: details to be added.